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Bush
Flip Flops on the Topics of National InSecurity
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Total count to
date = 34
To send flipflops,
feedback or comments, please click here.
[Thanks to the following blogs/sites, where I got some of these
links from: Atrios, Buzzflash,
Talkingpointsmemo,
Billmon, DailyKos,
Dwight Meredith (Wampum)
and Center
for American Progress (CAP)]
1. National Security
1.1 We know we are
winning the war on terror, or do we?
1.2, 1.3 We can win the
war on terror! Can't! Can!
1.4
"Consequences" for U.S.S. Cole Bombers
1.5 Intelligence
Spending on Counter-terrorism and Bush's Attack on Kerry
1.6 Seeing the first
plane hit the World Trade Center on 9/11
1.7, 1.8 Threat to Air
Force One on 9/11 and Civilian Flights Aloft as Late as 4 pm that day
1.9 Implementing
Emergency Response Plans after First Flight hit the WTC on 9/11
1.10 Policy by Doing
Polls on National Security
1.11 Finding Osama bin
Laden Dead or Alive
1.12 Focus on bin
Laden/Al Qaeda
1.13 At battle stations prior
to 9/11
1.14 Using 9/11 or
National Security or War as a Political Issue
1.15 Richard Clarke
being out of the loop
1.16 Richard Clarke's
Meeting with Bush
1.17 Homeland Security
Department
1.18 Independent 9/11
Commission
1.19 Time Extension
for 9/11 Commission
1.20 One hour time
limit for Bush testimony before 9/11 Commission
1.21 Condi Rice
testimony before 9/11 Commission
1.22, 1.23 Uncovering
Every Detail about 9/11, in a Timely Fashion
1.24 National
Intelligence Director
1.25 Access to
Presidential Daily Briefs (PDBs) - Part 1
1.26 Access to PDBs -
Part 2
1.27 Declassifying
August 6, 2001 PDB
1.28 Providing 9/11
Commission Access to Clinton archives
1.29 Respect for the
Dead
1.30 Release of
Statistics on use of Patriot Act
1.31 Terrorism attacks
in 2003
1.32 International
Terrorism Cases in 2002 Fiscal Year
1.33 Strategic use of
armed forces
1.34 Military
Equipment Readiness
1. National Security
1.1 We know we are winning the
war on terror, or do we?
FLIP
1/29/02
- [Bush]: "We are winning the war on terror"
2/14/03
- [Bush]: "We're not only doing everything here at home, but we're
doing everything we can abroad. Let me first tell you this: we're
winning the war on terror."
8/15/03
- [Bush]: "Our nation is waging a broad and unrelenting campaign
against the global terror network, and we're winning"
IN SHORT:
We are winning the war or terror, you hear? We ARE WINNING! We are
making mincemeat of "terror"! "Terror" is terrified
of us.
FLOP
10/16/03
- [Rumsfeld for Bush]: "Today, we lack metrics to know if we are
winning or losing the global war on terror. Are we capturing, killing or
deterring and dissuading more terrorists every day than the madrassas
and the radical clerics are recruiting, training and deploying against
us?
Does the US need to fashion a broad, integrated plan to stop the next
generation of terrorists? The US is putting relatively little effort
into a long-range plan, but we are putting a great deal of effort into
trying to stop terrorists. The cost-benefit ratio is against us! Our
cost is billions against the terrorists' costs of millions."
10/22/03
- [Link]:
"...White House press secretary Scott McClellan, traveling with
President Bush in Australia, reacted by voicing support for Rumsfeld.
"That's exactly what a strong and capable secretary of defense like
Secretary Rumsfeld should be doing," said McClellan. "The president has always said it will require thinking
differently. It's a different type of war," McClellan said...."
IN SHORT:
Er, we don't know if we are winning the war on terror or not.
1.2, 1.3 We can win the
war on terror! Can't! Can! [via CAP]
FLIP
4/13/04
- [Bush]: "One of the
interesting things people ask me, now that we're asking questions, is,
can you ever win the war on terror? Of course, you can."
IN SHORT:
We can win the war on terror.
FLOP
8/30/04
- [Bush]: "I don't think you can win [the war on terror]."
IN SHORT:
We cannot win the war on terror.
FLIP AGAIN
8/31/04
- [Bush]: "Make no mistake about it, we are winning and we will win
[the war on terror]."
IN SHORT:
We can win the war on terror.
1.4 "Consequences"
for U.S.S. Cole Bombers [via Hesiod]
FLIP
10/20/00
- [Link]:
"Al Qaeda bombed the U.S.S.
Cole in October of 2000. Here is how he responded to that attack, on of
all things the Late
Show with David Letterman!
"Letterman then asked Bush about the terrorist murder of 17 U.S.
sailors [serving aboard the USS Cole] in Yemen. Seriously.
"If I find out who it was, they'd pay a serious price,"
Bush said of the bombing. "I mean a serious price."
"Now, what does that mean?" Letterman asked, a follow-up
Bush doesn't often get when he's asked about such bravado.
"That means they're not going to like what happened to
them," Bush said, and the crowd went wild.
"Now are you talking about retaliation or due process of
law?" Letterman asked.
"Heh-heh," Bush said. "I'm talking about gettin' the
facts and lettin' them know we don't appreciate it and there's a
serious consequence ... And I'll decide what that consequence
is."
IN SHORT:
Those responsible for the U.S.S. Cole bombing in Yemen will pay a
serious price and face serious consequences
FLOP
Later
in 2000/2001 [1]: [Newsweek]: "...The day after the Oct.
12, 2000, attack on the USS Cole, the then candidate Bush said
“there must be a consequence.” An FBI document dated January 26,
2001—six days after Bush took office —shows that authorities
believed they had clear evidence tying the bombers to Al Qaeda. Yet
the new administration mounted no retaliation of its own..."
Later
in 2000/2001 [2]: [Blogger Hesiod points out:] "Now, we strongly suspected that Al Qaeda,
and probably Osama Bin Laden were likely behind the Cole Bombing almost
immediately. And we
found a LINK between Bin Laden and the Cole Bombing by December of
2000.
To make it even more clear, in March of 2001, Bin Laden himself PRAISED
the Cole bombers publicly."
IN SHORT:
Those responsible for the U.S.S. Cole bombing in Yemen will NOT pay a
serious price and WILL NOT face serious consequences
1.5 Intelligence Spending on
Counter-terrorism and Bush's Attack on Kerry
FLIP
9/10/01
[The White House cut
the proposed intelligence budgets on counterterrorism before and
after 9/11/01
(after U.S.S. Cole bombing by Al Qaeda, after
repeated messages of threats of impending massive terrorist acts by Al Qaeda
in summer 2001 and after 9/11)]
[Link]:
"...In its final budget request for the fiscal year 2002
submitted on Sept. 10, 2001, the Administration "called for
spending increases in 68 programs, none
of which directly involved counterterrorism...
In his Sept. 10 submission to the budget office, Mr.
Ashcroft did not endorse F.B.I. requests for $58 million for
149 new counterterrorism field agents, 200 intelligence
analysts and 54 additional translators. Mr. Ashcroft proposed
cuts in 14 programs. One proposed $65 million cut was for
a program that gives state and local counterterrorism grants for
equipment, including radios and decontamination suits and training
to localities for counterterrorism preparedness." The WP
reported that in its first budget, the White House left
"gaps" between "what military commanders said
they needed to
combat terrorists and what they got." Newsweek noted
that, among other things, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld
elected not
to re-launch a Predator drone that had been tracking bin
Laden. When the Senate Armed Services Committee
tried to fill those gaps, "Rumsfeld
said he would recommend a veto" on September
9..."
[Link]:
"...In the early days after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, the
Bush White House cut by nearly two-thirds an emergency request for counterterrorism
funds by the FBI, an internal administration budget document shows.
The document, dated Oct. 12, 2001, shows that the FBI
requested $1.5 billion in additional funds to enhance its
counterterrorism efforts with the creation of 2,024 positions. But
the White House Office of Management and Budget cut that request to
$531 million. Attorney General John D. Ashcroft, working within the
White House limits, cut the FBI's request for items such as
computer networking and foreign language intercepts by half,
cut a cyber-security request by three quarters and eliminated
entirely a request for "collaborative capabilities."
..."
IN SHORT:
Intelligence spending on counter-terrorism needs to be trimmed
FLOP
3/8/04
- [Bush]: "Once again, Sen. Kerry is trying to have it both ways...He's
for good intelligence; yet he was willing to gut the intelligence
services. And that is no way to lead a nation in a time of war." [This
in itself is a false charge - see here]
IN SHORT:
Intelligence spending on counter-terrorism needs to be increased
1.6 Seeing the first plane hit
the World Trade Center on 9/11
FLIP
12/4/01
- [Bush]: "I was sitting outside the classroom, waiting to go in,
and I saw an airplane [the first] hit the tower -- the TV was obviously
on. And I used to fly myself, and I said, 'Well, there's one terrible
pilot.' "..."
[Bush repeated this several weeks later]
IN SHORT:
I saw the first airplane hit the first WTC tower on the morning on
9/11/01 before news of the second airplane hitting the WTC was reported.
FLOP
3/23/04
- [Link]:
"Actually, no scenes of the first plane hitting the Trade Center
were broadcast on television until late that night, when amateur video
footage became available. The TV in the room where Mr. Bush waited
wasn't even plugged in, according Ms. Rigell, the principal. "It's
just a mistaken recollection" on the president's part, his
spokesman, Mr. Bartlett, said in an interview. "There were lots
of things going on fast at the time."..."
IN SHORT:
I DID NOT see the first airplane hit the first WTC tower on the morning
on 9/11/01 before news of the second airplane hitting the WTC was
reported.
1.7, 1.8 Threat to Air Force
One on 9/11 and Civilian Flights Aloft as Late as 4 pm that day
FLIP
9/12/01
[WSJ]:
"As Air Force One left Sarasota, the president intended to return
directly to Washington, Mr. Bartlett said. Mr. Bush initially had
ignored advice from Vice President Dick Cheney, calling while en route
to a White House basement command center, that Washington appeared to be
under attack and the president for his own safety should remain away,
according to an official in the vice president's office. Once airborne,
Mr. Bush spoke again on a secure phone with Mr. Cheney, who relayed a
new message that changed the president's mind, White House officials
later said. The vice president urged Mr. Bush to postpone his return
because, Mr. Cheney said, the government had received a specific threat
that Air Force One itself had been targeted by terrorists. Mr. Cheney
emphasized that the threat included a reference to what he called the
secret code word for the presidential jet, "Angel," Mr.
Bartlett said in an interview.
In a press conference on Sept. 12, 2001, then-White House spokesman Ari
Fleischer said the threat tipped the scales for Mr. Bush. The president
reluctantly agreed to remain away from Washington "because the
information that we had was real and credible about Air Force One,"
Mr. Fleischer said...
Days after the attacks, Mr. Cheney had said word of the threat had been
passed to him by Secret Service agents...
In explaining Mr. Bush's movements, top White House political strategist
Karl Rove has said that as late as 4 p.m. on Sept. 11, there were still
reports of civilian jetliners aloft and unaccounted for, posing a
separate threat to Air Force One. In an interview published Oct. 1,
2001, in the New Yorker magazine, Mr. Rove referred to reports of
"three or four or five planes still outstanding" at 4 p.m..."
IN SHORT:
Bush did not return to Washington on 9/11/01 because of a threat to Air
Force One, plus the risk of civilian flights aloft as late as 4 pm.
FLOP
3/23/04
- [WSJ]:
"Although in the days after Sept. 11, Mr. Cheney and other
administration officials recounted that a threat had been received
against Air Force One, Mr. Bartlett said in a recent interview that
there hadn't been any actual threat. Word of a threat had resulted from
confusion in the White House bunker, as multiple conversations went on
simultaneously, he said. Many of these exchanges, he added, related to
rumors that turned out to be false, such as reports of attacks on the
president's ranch in Texas and the State Department. As for the Air
Force One code name, Mr. Bartlett said, "Somebody was using the
word 'angel,' " and "that got interpreted as a threat
based on the word 'angel.' "...
The vice president's office gave an account differing from Mr.
Bartlett's, saying it still couldn't rule out that a threat to Air Force
One actually had been made.
Days after the attacks, Mr. Cheney had said word of the threat had been
passed to him by Secret Service agents. But in interviews, two former
senior Secret Service agents on duty that day denied that their agency
played any role in receiving or passing on a threat to the presidential
jet...
But Benjamin Sliney, the senior Federal Aviation Administration official
in charge of nationwide air-traffic control that day, said in an
interview that there were no such reports. He and an FAA spokeswoman
said that at 12:16 p.m., the agency informed the White House, Pentagon
and other arms of the government that there weren't any additional
hijacked jets aloft, as all commercial planes had landed or been
diverted away from the U.S.
Other government officials said in interviews that Mr. Bush received a
briefing before 1 p.m. while at an Air Force base in Barksdale, La.,
during which he was told that the skies were clear of any potentially
hijacked planes. Mr. Bartlett said in an interview he didn't know where
Mr. Rove got the information about planes still being in the air in the
late afternoon of Sept. 11..."
IN SHORT:
There was no real threat to Air Force One on 9/11/01. There were no
civilian flights aloft as late as 4 pm.
1.9 Implementing Emergency
Response Plans after First Flight hit the WTC on 9/11
FLIP
9/11/01
- [Bush]: "...immediately following the first attack, I implemented
our government's emergency-response plans"
IN SHORT:
I implemented the Government's emergency response plans immediately
after the first attack on 9/11.
FLOP
3/23/04
- [WSJ]:
"But in interviews, federal officials said that in fact,
lower-level government employees activated the Interagency Domestic
Terrorism Concept of Operations Plan.
Adopted in the late 1990s in response to an executive order from
President Clinton, the 36-page "Conplan" details the
responsibilities of seven federal agencies. It gives the Federal Bureau
of Investigation responsibility for activating the plan and alerting the
other agencies that a terrorist attack has occurred.
FBI spokesman Paul Bresson said the Conplan was activated quickly on
Sept. 11, without any input from the president or White House. Because
the Trade Center crashes were so widely known from television coverage,
he said, most of the participating federal agencies swung into action
without waiting for FBI notification.
A former Bush White House official said in an e-mail response to
questions that the president "was actually not involved in making
decision on 9/11 about emergency plans until he formally signed a
disaster declaration" three days later, on Sept. 14. The White
House didn't respond to written questions about the president's role in
activating the Conplan."
IN SHORT:
I was not the one who implemented the Government's emergency
response plans immediately after the first attack on 9/11.
1.10 Policy by Doing Polls on
National Security [via Liberal
Oasis]
FLIP
Late
2001 - [Bush]: "Halfway through lunch, President Bush
dropped by unexpectedly and launched into an impromptu briefing of his
own, ticking off the items on his agenda until he arrived at the
question of whether it was preferable to issue vague warnings of
possible terrorist threats or to stay quietly vigilant so as not to
alarm people. At this point, former Clinton press secretary Dee Dee
Myers piped up, "What do the poll numbers say?" All eyes
turned to Bush. Without missing a beat, the famous Bush smirk crossed
the president's face and he replied, "In this White House, Dee
Dee, we don't poll on something as important as national security."..."
2/18/03
- [Bush]: "First of all, you know, size of protest, it's like
deciding, well, I'm going to decide policy based upon a focus group.
The role of a leader is to decide policy based upon the security
-- in this case, the security of the people."
IN SHORT:
In this White House we don't use polls or focus groups to decide
national security policy.
FLOP
2/14/03
- [Tom Ridge for Bush]: "As we roll out the broader communications
strategy, [we] have done quite a bit of work with professionals around
the country -- who include focus groups -- as a way to
communicate the message that really helps people feel empowered and
educated rather than alarmed."
BONUS
11/16/02
- [Link]:
"..."Bush at War," by Washington Post assistant managing
editor Bob Woodward, draws on four hours of interviews with Bush and
quotes 15,000 words from National Security Council and other White House
meetings in reconstructing the internal debate that led to U.S. military
action in Afghanistan and the decision to aggressively confront Iraqi
President Saddam Hussein.
...
The president is shown to be preoccupied by public perceptions of the
war, looking at polling data from Rove, now his senior adviser, even
after pretending to have no interest.
Roger E. Ailes, a media coach for Bush's father and now chairman of the
Fox News Channel, sent a confidential communication to the White House
in the weeks after the terrorist attacks. Rove took the Ailes
communication to the president. "His back-channel message: The
American public would tolerate waiting and would be patient, but only as
long as they were convinced that Bush was using the harshest measures
possible," Woodward wrote. He added that Ailes, who has angrily
challenged reports that his news channel has a conservative bias, added
a warning: "Support would dissipate if the public did not see Bush
acting harshly."
..."
IN SHORT:
In this White House we DO use polls or focus groups to decide national
security policy.
1.11 Finding
Osama bin Laden Dead or Alive
FLIP
9/13/01
- [Bush]: "...The most
important thing is for us to find Osama bin Laden. It is our number
one priority and we will not rest until we find him..."
IN SHORT:
Finding Osama bin Laden is
important and our #1 priority and we will not rest until we find him.
3/13/02
- [Bush]: "I don't know where bin Laden is. I have no idea and
really don't care. It's not that important. It's not our
priority."
4/8/02
- [Bush]: "...I am truly not that concerned
about him."
IN SHORT:
Finding Osama bin Laden is NOT
important and not our priority. And, by the way, I couldn't care less.
Compassiongate
Note on the above struck-out links: Per this
post by Atrios, it is not clear if the quotes above are real. Since
the authenticity of the quotes has been questioned and I can't verify
them independently I am striking them out and replacing them with the
combination below. I am leaving the struck out regions to point out
that this is a correction.
FLIP
9/17/01
- [Link]:
"Bush Wants Bin Laden, Dead or Alive...
I want justice," said Bush.
"There's an old poster out West that said: 'Wanted, dead or alive.'
"
Bush cautioned the nation it faces "a different type of war ... a
different type of enemy than we're used to. ... Their network is
extensive. There are no rules. They slit the throats of women who are on
airplanes."
Asked about his comment about a
wanted poster, he replied, "All I'm doing is remembering when I was
a kid. I remember they used to put out there in the Old West wanted
posters that said 'Wanted dead or alive.' All I want and America wants
him brought to justice. That's what I want."
Presidential spokesman Ari Fleischer later said that a presidential
directive barring the U.S. government from engaging in assassination
"does not limit the United States' ability to act in its self
defense."..."
IN SHORT:
I want Osama bin Laden Dead or Alive and he should be brought to
justice.
FLOP
3/13/02
- [Link]:
"So I don't know where he is. You know, I just don't spend that
much time on him, Kelly, to be honest with you...
Well, as I say, we haven't heard much from him. And I wouldn't
necessarily say he's at the center of any command structure. And, again,
I don't know where he is. I -- I'll repeat what I said. I truly am not
that concerned about him. I know he is on the run."
IN SHORT:
I am not really concerned about Osama Bin Laden and I don't spend much
time on him (remember how I was before 9/11?)
1.12 Focus on bin Laden/Al Qaeda
FLOP
March
2004 - [Wilkinson for Bush]: "...This is a president who
wanted a comprehensive strategy to go after al Qaeda where it lives,
where it hides, where it plots, where it raises money. All the ideas
that -- except for one -- that Dick Clarke submitted, this
administration did..."
March
2004 - [Cheney for Bush]: "The fact is, what the President
did not want to do is to have an ineffective response with respect to al
Qaeda. And we felt that up until that point that much of what had been
done vis-a-vis al Qaeda had been totally ineffective: some cruise
missiles fired at some training camps in Afghanistan that basically
didn't hit anything. And it made the U.S. look weak and ineffective. And
he wanted a far more effective policy for trying to deal with that. And
that process was in motion throughout the spring."
IN SHORT:
We (including Bush) were very much focused on dealing with Al Qaeda and
bin Laden prior to 9/11.
FLIP
Flashback
to 2001/2002 - [Link]:
"In this case, Clarke himself told scribes where to
go. Yep! He sent them straight to this passage in Woodward: WOODWARD
(page 39): [Bush] acknowledged that bin Laden was not his focus
or that of his national security team. “There was a significant
difference in my attitude after September 11. I was not on point…I
didn’t have that sense of urgency, and my blood was not nearly as
boiling.”..."
More
flashback to 2001/2002 - [Bush]: "I
didn’t feel a sense of urgency about al Qaeda. It was not my focus; it
was not the focus of my team"
IN SHORT:
Osama bin Laden/Al Qaeda was not our focus prior to 9/11. We were
"not on point" before 9/11.
1.13 At battle stations prior
to 9/11
FLOP
4/8/04
- [Rice for Bush, testifying to 9/11 Commission]: "...I talked to Powell, I talked to Rumsfeld
about what was happening with the threats and with the alerts, and the
president of the United States had us at battle stations during this
period of time..."
IN SHORT:
We were at battle stations prior to 9/11 because of the known threats.
FLIP
4/8/04
(yes, same day) - [Rice for Bush, testifying to 9/11 Commission]: "...for all the language of
war spoken before September 11th, this country simply was not on war
footing...
And for all of the rhetoric of war prior to 9/11 -- people who said
we're at war with the jihadist network, people who said that they've
declared war on us and we're at war with them -- we weren't at war. We
weren't on war footing. We weren't behaving in that way."
IN SHORT:
We were NOT really on a war footing prior to 9/11 in spite of the known
threats.
1.14 Using 9/11 or National
Security or War as a Political Issue
FLIP
1/23/02
- [Bush]: "...I have no ambition whatsoever to use this [9/11
or national security or war] as a political issue..."
IN SHORT:
I will not use 9/11 or national security or war as a political issue
FLOP
1/19/02
and beyond - [Link]:
"On 1/23/02, President Bush said, " I have no ambition
whatsoever to use [national security] as a political issue." On
5/17/02, Vice President Cheney even said legitimate questions about the
White House's failure to better defend America before 9/11 were
"thoroughly irresponsible and totally unworthy of national leaders
in a time of war."
...
Less than 19 weeks after the 9/11
attacks, top White House adviser Karl Rove gave a speech on 1/19/02
urging fellow conservatives to "go to the country" on issues
surrounding the War on Terror, an invitation to politicize national
security in an election year, as he claimed Americans trust
conservatives to do a better job of "protecting America." The
NYT noted that the White House had effectively "rolled out of a
strategy branding anyone who questions the administration as 'giving aid
and comfort to our enemies,'" as Rep. Tom Davis (R-VA) said.
In March 2002, AP reported that in speeches, President Bush began
"making the defense budget a patriotic issue." The story noted
that "despite the lack of concerted opposition," Bush was
seeking partisan political gain from the traditionally bipartisan issue
of defense spending.
On 5/15/02, CNN reported the White House allowed political campaign
committees to use an official, taxpayer-funded photograph of President
Bush taken on September 11 to be sold to fat cats at political
fundraisers. The photograph, paid for with government money, "shows
Bush aboard Air Force One, talking to Vice President Dick Cheney hours
after the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon." The
picture was being offered "to donors who contribute at least $150
and attend a fund-raising dinner with Bush and the first lady."
The Associated Press reported on 6/13/02 that the White House began
urging conservatives to push "messages highlighting the war on
terrorism" according to a presentation formulated by top
Presidential advisers in the White House. On 9/26/02, the President
acted on this, claiming Senate opponents were "more interested in
special interests in Washington and not interested in the security of
the American people." When senators asked for an apology, the head
of Bush's legislative team said there will be no apology because
"there has been no attempt on [Bush's] part to politicize the
war."
On 10/11/02, AP reported that an advertisement was aired against
triple-amputee Vietnam war hero Sen. Max Cleland (D-GA) "that
showed pictures of Saddam Hussein and Osama bin Laden and implied the
Democratic incumbent is soft on homeland security." Instead of
invoking his pledge not to use 9/11 and the War on Terrorism "as a
political issue," the President Bush effectively condoned the
tactic by repeatedly making campaign appearances on behalf of Saxby
Chambliss, who was airing the ad. Even now, the White House has refused
to discredit the statement by Rep. Tom Cole (R-OK) that opposing the
Bush Administration means "Osama bin Laden wins."..."
9/9/04
- [link]:
"And it did not stop there. The Bush team's first political ads
featured grisly images of firefighters carrying flag-draped coffins out
of the rubble of the World Trade Center. But the spots backfired after
firefighters and 9/11 victims' families accused the campaign of seeking
to exploit the attacks for political gain.
Republicans were forced to adopt alternative tactics, this time through
mythmaking. In the spring, Representative Tom Cole of Oklahoma told a
group of Republicans that "if George Bush loses the election, Osama
bin Laden wins the election." He was echoed by the right-wing
media. One nationally syndicated columnist wrote, "Which candidate
does our enemy want to lose? George W. Bush." Fox News pundit
Monica Crowley similarly observed, "America's adversaries want to
see John Kerry elected." Later that month, Republican political
operatives commissioned an "independent" poll that purported
to find that "60 percent of registered voters believed that
terrorists would support John Kerry in this year's presidential
elections." The poll was so suspect that only the right-wing media
reported it. But it helped advance the story.
By May, CNN Justice Department correspondent Kelli Arena
"reported" that there was "some speculation that Al Qaeda
believes it has a better chance of winning in Iraq if John Kerry is in
the White House."...
On May 26 Attorney General John
Ashcroft held a dramatic press conference announcing that Al Qaeda was
"almost ready to attack the United States" and had the
"specific intention to hit the United States hard." But
Ashcroft did not provide any new or specific information, the Homeland
Security Department did not raise the terrorism threat alert level, and
a senior Administration official told the New York Times that
there was "no real new intelligence" to substantiate the
warning.
In July, two days after Kerry selected John Edwards as his running mate,
Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge held a press conference of his own
to say that "Al Qaeda is moving forward with its plans to carry out
a large-scale attack in the United States." Again, he did not
elaborate on what was new about his statement and was forced to admit,
"We lack precise knowledge about time, place and method of
attack."
That same month, The New Republic reported that top Pakistani
security officials were being pressured by the Bush Administration to
announce the capture of high-value terrorist targets during the
Democratic National Convention. The White House responded with a
standard denial, and the rest of the media ultimately brushed it off as
an uncorroborated conspiracy theory.
But on July 29, just hours before Kerry's keynote address, Pakistan
announced the capture of Al Qaeda suspect Ahmed Khalfan Ghailani.
Curiously, he had been apprehended five days earlier. Even more suspect:
The announcement was made at midnight Pakistani time, when most
Pakistanis were asleep, but at the perfect time to coincide with
America's prime-time television news schedule.
A few days later--during the period when attention to nominee Kerry
would traditionally lead to a bounce in popularity--Ridge announced that
he was raising the threat level in New York City, Northern New Jersey
and the District of Columbia to "Code Orange." He claimed the
threat level was being raised because of "new and unusually
specific information about where Al Qaeda would like to attack."
Undermining his claim that "we don't do politics in the Department
of Homeland Security," he wove a campaign-style endorsement of the
President into his warning: "We must understand that the kind of
information available to us today is the result of the President's
leadership in the war against terror," Ridge declared just a few
breaths after invoking frightening images of "explosives,"
"weapons of mass destruction" and "biological
pathogens."
But Ridge neglected to mention that most of the information was at least
three years old, much of it surveillance data that had been collected
before 9/11. Ridge also conceded that New York City--which was already
at "Code Orange" before his announcement--would not raise its
level of alert..."
IN SHORT:
We will absolutely and constantly use 9/11 or national security or war
as a political issue
1.15 Richard Clarke being out of
the loop [via Brad
DeLong]
FLIP
March
2004 - [Cheney for Bush]: "Well, he wasn't in the loop
frankly on a lot of this stuff"
IN SHORT:
Richard Clarke was out of the loop on a lot of the antiterrorism policy
discussions
FLOP
March
2004
[Rice for Bush]: ""I would not use the word `out of the
loop,'... He was in every meeting that was held on terrorism," Ms.
Rice said. "All the deputies' meetings, the principals' meeting
that was held and so forth, the early meetings after Sept. 11."..."
[Wilkinson for Bush]: "I would say, I would remind you that Dick
Clarke was in charge of counterterrorism policy when the African
embassies were bombed. Dick Clarke was in charge of counterterrorism
policy when the USS Cole was bombed. Dick Clarke was in charge of
counterterrorism policy in the time preceding 9/11 when the threat was
growing."
IN SHORT:
Richard Clarke was actually NOT out of the loop on a lot of the
antiterrorism policy discussions
1.16 Richard Clarke's Meeting
with Bush [via Brad
DeLong]
FLIP
March
2004 - [Hadley and McClellan for Bush]:
"HADLEY: We can not find evidence that this [Situation Room]
conversation [about links between Al Qaeda and Iraq] between Mr. Clarke
and the President [on September 12, 2001] ever occurred.
McCLELLAN: Let's just step backwards -- regardless, regardless, put that
aside. There's no record of the President being in the Situation Room on
that day that it was alleged to have happened, on the day of September
the 12th. When the President is in the Situation Room, we keep track of
that."
IN SHORT:
There's no evidence that the meeting that Richard Clarke claimed to have
with Bush ever happened (this is the meeting in which Bush pressured him
about Iraq rather than Al Qaeda).
FLOP
March
2004 - [Bartlett and Hadley for Bush]:
"White House Communications Director Dan Bartlett on the Newshour
with Jim Lehrer -- text and audio. "I'm not here to dispute that
there wasn't a conversation and the fact that President Bush didn't ask
questions about Iraq, I'm sure he did and I'm glad he did..."
HADLEY: But the point I think we're missing in this is of course the
President wanted to know [on September 12] if there was any evidence
linking Iraq to 9/11."
IN SHORT:
The meeting that Richard Clarke claimed to have with Bush actually did
happen and that was a good thing (this is the meeting in which Bush
pressured him about Iraq rather than Al Qaeda).
1.17 Homeland Security
Department [via CAP]
FLIP
3/19/02
- [Fleischer for Bush]: "So, creating a Cabinet office [Depart of
Homeland Security] doesn't solve the problem. You still will have
agencies within the federal government that have to be coordinated. So
the answer is that creating a Cabinet post doesn't solve anything."
IN SHORT:
Bush against creating Department of Homeland Security
FLOP
6/6/02
- [Bush]: "So tonight, I ask the Congress to join me in creating a
single, permanent department with an overriding and urgent mission:
securing the homeland of America and protecting the American
people."
IN SHORT:
Bush FOR creating Department of Homeland Security
1.18 Independent 9/11 Commission
[via CAP]
FLIP
5/23/02
- [Link]:
"President Bush took a few minutes during his trip to Europe
Thursday to voice his opposition to establishing a special commission to
probe how the government dealt with terror warnings before Sept.
11."
5/27/02
- [Rice for Bush]: "...appearing on "Fox News Sunday," said
the administration opposed any probe outside the congressional
intelligence committees because a war against terrorism was still
underway. "We worry about anything that would take place
outside of the intelligence committees, and indeed, we think the
intelligence committees are the proper venue for this kind of
review."..."
IN SHORT:
Against an Independent Commission to investigate 9/11
FLOP
09/20/02
- [Bush]: "President Bush said today he now supports establishing
an independent commission to investigate the Sept. 11 terrorist
attacks."
IN SHORT:
FOR an Independent Commission to investigate 9/11
1.19 Time Extension for 9/11
Commission [via CAP]
FLIP
1/19/04
- [Link]:
"...President George W. Bush and House Speaker Dennis Hastert
(R-Ill.) have decided to oppose granting more time to an
independent commission investigating the Sept. 11 attacks,
virtually guaranteeing that the panel will have to complete
its work by the end of May, officials said last week..."
IN SHORT:
Against an extension of the 9/11 Commission's deadline
FLOP
2/4/04
- [Link]:
"The White House announced Wednesday its support for a request from
the commission investigating the September 11, 2001 attacks for more
time to complete its work."
IN SHORT:
FOR an extension of the 9/11 Commission's deadline
1.20 One hour time limit for
Bush testimony before 9/11 Commission [via CAP]
FLIP
2/26/04
- [Link]:
"President Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney have placed strict
limits on the private interviews they will grant to the federal
commission investigating the Sept. 11 attacks, saying that they will
meet only with the panel's top two officials and that Mr. Bush will
submit to only a single hour of questioning, commission members said
Wednesday."
IN SHORT:
[Bush] Will only submit to one hour of questioning by the 9/11
Commission
FLOP
3/10/04
- [Link]:
"The president's going to answer all of the questions they want to
raise. Nobody's watching the clock."
IN SHORT:
[Bush] Will submit to questioning by the 9/11 Commission without time
limits (but only if
I'm allowed to
holding hands with Dick Cheney)
1.21 Condi Rice testimony before
9/11 Commission [via CAP]
FLIP
3/9/04
- [McClellan
for Bush/WH]:
"Again, this is not her personal preference; this goes back to a
matter of principle. There is a separation of powers issue involved
here. Historically, White House staffers do not testify before
legislative bodies. So it's a matter of principle, not a matter of
preference."
IN SHORT:
Rice cannot testify as a matter of "principle"
3/30/04
- [Bush]: "Today I have informed the Commission on Terrorist
Attacks Against the United States that my National Security Advisor, Dr.
Condoleezza Rice, will provide public testimony."
IN SHORT:
Rice can and will testify
1.22, 1.23 Uncovering Every
Detail about 9/11, in a Timely Fashion
FLIP
11/27/02
- [Bush]: "...investigation should
carefully examine all the evidence and follow all the fact,
wherever they lead. We must uncover every detail and learn
every lesson of September the 11th...We have a duty -- a solemn
duty -- to do everything we can to protect this country...I also
hope that the commission will act quickly and issue its
report prior to the 18-month deadline embodied in
the legislation. After all, if there's changes that need to be
made, we need to know them as soon as possible, for the security of
our country. The sooner we have the commission's conclusions,
the sooner this administration will act on them..."
[Bush]: "I also hope that the commission will act quickly and issue
its report prior to the 18-month deadline embodied in the legislation.
After all, if there's changes that need to be made, we need to know them
as soon as possible, for the security of our country. The sooner we have
the commission's conclusions, the sooner this administration will act on
them"
IN SHORT:
9/11 Commission should investigate EVERY DETAIL and EVERY BIT of
evidence and ACT QUICKLY in revealing what went wrong since that is our
solemn duty
FLOPPITY FLOP
4/7/04
summary from the Center for American Progress:
[The] White House
has done everything it can to stall, impede and block the commission
from doing its vital work.
WHITE HOUSE OPPOSED FORMATION OF COMMISSION:
President Bush and Vice President Cheney both contacted then-Senate
Majority Leader Tom Daschle in the months after 9/11 to insist
on strict limits in the scope of any investigation into the attacks.
And despite entreaties from the families of victims of 9/11 attacks and
a bipartisan group of senators and congressmen, the president vocally
resisted forming an investigatory commission. President Bush only
relented on November
27, 2002, a year after the attacks.
BUSH'S
HAND-PICKED CO-CHAIRMAN STEPS DOWN: On November 27, 2002,
President Bush appointed Henry Kissinger to head the 9/11 Commission..
At the time, the NYT opined the White House had chosen him
"to contain an investigation it has long opposed." Less
than a month later, Kissinger resigned
from the post over conflicts of interest.
WHITE HOUSE
RESISTED FULL FUNDING: Time Magazine reported last year that the
White House "brushed
off" a request by Commission Chairman Tom Kean to boost the
investigation's budget by $11 million, even though the commission stated
it could not complete the investigation without the funds.
WHITE HOUSE
OPPOSED TIME EXTENSION FOR FINISHING COMMISSION'S WORK: In
January 2004, President Bush and House Speaker J. Dennis Hastert (R-IL) opposed
granting a two-month extension, even though commission members said
the extra time was necessary in order to finish its work. Two weeks
later, after public outcry, the
White House capitulated, announcing on February 4, 2004 that it
would allow the commission to have the extra 60 days it needed to
finish its work.
WHITE HOUSE DENIES
REQUEST FOR PRESIDENTIAL DAILY BRIEFS: The commission has
struggled with the White House for access to the "Presidential
Daily Brief" (PDB), a document presented to the President each
morning with that day's intelligence. After months of negotiations, the
White House limited access to the PDBs to only four
commissioners, who then would brief the full 10-member panel.
However, although the four-member team "asked to look at 360 PDBs
dating back to 1998; White House counsel Alberto
Gonzales permitted them to see just 24."
WHITE HOUSE DENIES
ACCESS TO PANEL'S OWN NOTES: After limiting the number of
commissioners who could view the Presidential Daily Briefs, the White
House then refused
to give the panel access to notes commissioners with access had
taken on them. On March 14, 2004, 15 months after the creation of the
commission, the White House finally agreed to provide the commission
with a 17-page summary of president's Daily Briefs from the Bush and
Clinton administrations related to al Qaeda.
PRESIDENT'S CHIEF
COUNSEL TRIES TO INFLUENCE PANEL: Top White House counsel
Alberto Gonzales tried to manipulate
the 9/11 Commission, calling Republican commissioners Fred F.
Fielding and James R. Thompson just before they gathered March 24, 2004
to hear the testimony of former White House counterterrorism chief
Richard A. Clarke. After the calls, "Fielding and Thompson
presented evidence questioning the former official's credibility,"
leading critics to denounce the impropriety of Gonzales's phone calls.
WHITE HOUSE REFUSES
TO ALLOW NATIONAL SECURITY ADVISOR TO TESTIFY: On March
28, 2004, National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice tried to
justify her resistance to testifying in front of the commission, saying,
"Nothing would be better, from my point of view, than to be able to
testify. I would really like to do that. But there is an important
principle here ... it is a longstanding principle that sitting
national security advisers do not testify before the Congress."
Faced with the reality that former top White House officials Lloyd
Cutler, Zbigniew Brzezinski, Samuel Berger and John Podesta appeared
before congressional committees while serving as advisers to presidents,
as well as a photo showing Adm.
William Leahy, chief of staff to Presidents Franklin Roosevelt and
Harry Truman, appearing before the special congressional panel
investigating the Pearl Harbor attacks, the White House finally bowed to
pressure on March
30, 2004 and announced Rice would testify in public under oath
before the commission.
WHITE HOUSE DEMANDS
PANEL NOT SEEK ADDITIONAL TESTIMONY: In exchange for Rice's
testimony, the White House specifically demanded that "the
panel agree not to seek testimony from other White House aides,"
even if that testimony becomes critical to the commission's mandate.
WHITE HOUSE TRIES
TO LIMIT BUSH'S TESTIMONY TO ONE HOUR: On February
25, 2004, President Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney announced
"strict limits" surrounding their private interviews to the
9/11 Commission, saying Bush would submit to only a single hour of
questioning. On March
2, 2004, the commission rejected the hour deadline as unacceptable.
A week later, on March
10, 2004, White House spokesman Scott McClellan backtracked on the
demand, saying, "The president's going to answer all of the
questions they want to raise. Nobody's watching the clock."
WHITE HOUSE DEMANDS
JOINT BUSH/CHENEY TESTIMONY: The White House has also demanded
that President Bush and Vice President Cheney not be forced to testify
under oath and be allowed to testify together, facilitating the
potential coordination of their testimony. Tom Kean and Lee Hamilton,
members of the commission, have said they would
prefer them to testify separately.
WHITE HOUSE HOLDS
BACK DOCUMENTS: On April 1, 2004, it was discovered that the
Bush White House had
not turned over about 75 percent of the almost 11,000 pages of
Clinton records "that document custodians had determined should be
released to the commission investigating the terrorist attacks" to
the commission, even though the
records were vital to the panel's mission. Clinton "had given
authorization to the National Archives to gather evidence from Mr.
Clinton's files that was sought by the independent Commission...But the
Bush administration...had final authority to decide what would be turned
over."
Also see here.
IN SHORT:
9/11 Commission should investigate NOT EVERY DETAIL and NOT EVERY BIT of
evidence and NOT NECESSARILY ACT QUICKLY in revealing what went wrong
since that is our solemn duty.
1.24 National Intelligence
Director
FLIP
8/2/04
- [Link]:
"President Bush is urging the creation of a national intelligence
director, but some lawmakers wonder whether the post he's proposed will
have enough power to get the nation's 15 sometimes turf-conscious spy
agencies working in concert...Critics contend without complete budgetary
control, the new chief would have little real clout, CBS
Correspondent Thalia Assuras reports...Democratic Sen. Jay
Rockefeller of West Virginia, vice chairman of the Senate
Intelligence Committee, also questioned the president's decision,
saying that "if the new director cannot control the budgets of
intelligence agencies, this new position will be no more than window
dressing...Andy Card, the White House chief of staff, insisted the
national intelligence director would have "an awful lot of clout,
an awful lot of power" even though he lacked the authority to set
the budget for individual intelligence agencies..."
8/6/04
- [link]:
"This past week, President Bush announced that he was creating a
national intelligence director, but his concept of the job differs
radically from what the 9/11 commission has in mind or what Congress was
considering a dozen years ago. Bush's NID is strictly advisory in
nature, with no Cabinet slot, no office in the West Wing, no authority
over priorities, personnel, or budgets."
IN SHORT:
There should be a National Intelligence Director WITHOUT full budgetary
authority for the various agencies
FLOP
9/8/04
- [link]:
"President
Bush shifted his stance today on how much power a new national
intelligence director should have, declaring that he supports giving the
new chief full power over intelligence spending. "We believe that
there ought to be a national intelligence director who has full
budgetary authority," Mr. Bush said before meeting with
Congressional leaders who have supervisory functions over the far-flung
intelligence bureaucracy."
IN SHORT:
There should be a National Intelligence Director WITH full budgetary
authority for the various agencies
1.25 Access to Presidential
Daily Briefs (PDBs) - Part 1
FLIP
2002
- [Link]:
"...The extraordinary access that top Bush administration
officials gave Washington Post reporter Bob Woodward more than two
years ago for his book, “Bush at War”...The best selling
“Bush at War” is sprinkled with a number of precise references to
the PDBs. On page 40 of the book, for example, Woodward quotes from
the Sept. 12, 2001 PDB
that CIA director George Tenet gave Bush linking the terror attacks
to Al Qaeda. On page 132, Woodward gives the exact
title—“Trying to Anticipate the Next Attack” -of a “highly
classified, three-page briefing paper” that was provided to Bush
on Sept. 25 as part of that morning’s PDB..."
IN SHORT:
It is A-OK to provide
access to highly classified PDBs (even to commoners like journalists)
FLOP
4/7/04
summary from the Center for American Progress:
WHITE HOUSE DENIES
REQUEST FOR PRESIDENTIAL DAILY BRIEFS: The commission has
struggled with the White House for access to the "Presidential
Daily Brief" (PDB), a document presented to the President each
morning with that day's intelligence. After months of negotiations, the
White House limited access to the PDBs to only four
commissioners, who then would brief the full 10-member panel.
However, although the four-member team "asked to look at 360 PDBs
dating back to 1998; White House counsel Alberto
Gonzales permitted them to see just 24."
WHITE HOUSE DENIES
ACCESS TO PANEL'S OWN NOTES: After limiting the number of
commissioners who could view the Presidential Daily Briefs, the White
House then refused
to give the panel access to notes commissioners with access had
taken on them.
IN SHORT:
It is NOT A-OK to provide
access to highly classified PDBs to the 9/11 Commission
1.26 Access to PDBs - Part 2
FLIP
Jan
2004 - [Article]:
"...the White House has consistently refused to turn over any
PDBs to outside investigators. White House counsel Alberto Gonzales
and his staff have portrayed the documents as the "crown
jewels" of executive privilege and argued that sharing them
with anybody would jeopardize the ability of all future presidents
to receive briefings on highly sensitive intelligence matters in
confidence..."
IN SHORT:
It is NOT OK to provide access to highly
classified PDBs to the 9/11 Commission
FLOP
4/7/04
summary from the Center for American Progress:
he commission has
struggled with the White House for access to the "Presidential
Daily Brief" (PDB), a document presented to the President each
morning with that day's intelligence. After months of negotiations, the
White House limited access to the PDBs to only four
commissioners, who then would brief the full 10-member panel.
However, although the four-member team "asked to look at 360 PDBs
dating back to 1998; White House counsel Alberto
Gonzales permitted them to see just 24."
...
After limiting the number of commissioners who could view the
Presidential Daily Briefs, the White House then refused
to give the panel access to notes commissioners with access had
taken on them. On March 14, 2004, 15 months after the creation of the
commission, the White House finally agreed to provide the commission
with a 17-page summary of president's Daily Briefs from the Bush and
Clinton administrations related to al Qaeda.
IN SHORT:
It is OK to provide access to highly
classified PDBs to the 9/11 Commission
1.27 Declassifying August 6,
2001 PDB
FLIP
Jan 2004
- [Article]:
"...the White House has consistently refused to turn over any
PDBs to outside investigators. White House counsel Alberto Gonzales
and his staff have portrayed the documents as the "crown
jewels" of executive privilege and argued that sharing them
with anybody would jeopardize the ability of all future presidents
to receive briefings on highly sensitive intelligence matters in
confidence..."
IN SHORT:
It is NOT OK to declassify the highly
classified 8/6/01 PDB
FLOP
As is common knowledge now, the PDB was declassified and released to the public after Condi Rice's
testimony to the 9/11 Commission in early April 2004.
IN SHORT:
It is A-OK to declassify the highly
classified 8/6/01 PDB
1.28
Providing 9/11 Commission Access to
Clinton archives
FLIP
4/1/04
- [McClellan for Bush]: "...said some Clinton
administration documents had been withheld because they
were "duplicative or unrelated," while others were
withheld because they were "highly sensitive" and
the information in them could be relayed to the commission in
other ways...."
IN SHORT:
Will NOT let the 9/11 Commission review thousands of documents from
the Clinton administration
FLOP
4/3/04
- [Link]:
"The Bush administration agreed yesterday to let the commission
investigating the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks review about 9,000 pages of
documents from the Clinton archives, which the White House had earlier
refused to release, despite the conclusion of federal researchers that
they were relevant to the panel's work.
The agreement, announced by White House spokesman Scott McClellan and
confirmed by commission officials, was aimed at cutting short another
high-profile battle between the administration and the Sept. 11 panel in
the midst of the presidential election campaign. The Bush White House
has feuded with the commission repeatedly over access to documents and
witnesses, and this week capitulated to demands for public testimony
from national security adviser Condoleezza Rice.
But in comments to reporters in Huntington, W.Va., McClellan declined to
say whether the White House would agree to actually hand over any of the
documents at issue, raising the possibility of further disputes."
IN SHORT:
WILL let the 9/11 Commission review thousands of documents from the
Clinton administration
1.29 Respect for the Dead
FLIP
2003
- [Link]:
"As the nation headed for war last year, President Bush
"clamped down" on the media, extending and expanding a
controversial policy that banned reporters from photographing
flag-draped caskets of soldiers killed in combat 1. The White
House said the policy was enforced to "spare the feelings of
military families."..."
IN SHORT:
Showing flag-draped caskets of people who died in terrorist attacks or
war is inappropriate since it may hurt the families of the dead.
FLOP
2004
- [Link]:
"Yet, in the very first television advertisement of his 2004
campaign, the president has blanketed the nation's airwaves with an
image of "firefighters carrying a flag-draped body" from the
9/11 wreckage at Ground Zero 3.
The hypocrisy of preventing Americans from receiving a "reminder of
the toll of war" at the very same time the president exploits an
image of a dead body for his own political gain has caused an outrage
among victims' families 4. Chris Burke, whose brother Tom
died in the attacks, said, "Using my dead friends and my dead
brother for political expediency is dead wrong. It's wrong, it's bad
taste and an insult to the 3,000 people who died on Sept. 11." 5"
More here.
IN SHORT:
Showing flag-draped caskets of people who died in terrorist attacks or
war is appropriate since it may help me motivate my sheep
base.
1.30 Release of Statistics on
use of Patriot Act
FLIP
October
2002 - [Link]:
"...in October 2002, the ACLU and other groups filed a Freedom
of Information Act (FOIA) lawsuit asking a federal court to order the Department of Justice to account for
its use of the extraordinary new surveillance powers under the
Patriot Act, including Section 215. The Department of
Justice has not only refused to release basic statistics about how
often these powers are being used, it has reacted to increased public
concern about sensitive records, such as library and bookstore
records, by...claiming these new powers apply only to foreign
spies or terrorists. In actuality, this limit is one of the
safeguards that the USA PATRIOT Act lifted...."
IN SHORT:
Statistics on how the Government is using certain, secret PATRIOT ACT
related powers cannot be released since that will compromise national
security
FLOP
May
2004 - [Link]
"...The Bush administration is coming under fire for allegedly
allowing political concerns to determine what it deems to be
sensitive national security material after a series of document
declassifications that critics contend
were timed for strategic advantage. In several recent cases, the
administration first refused requests for information by saying
that releasing it would jeopardize national security, then released
that same information itself at a moment when
it became politically convenient to do so -- leaving the impression
that it was safe to release all along. After first refusing to
allow Congress to see a memo about Al Qaeda from a month before the
2001 attacks, and then letting only some of the 9/11
Commission see it in private, the White House released the
entire document to quell rising public pressure. After the
Justice Department fought the American Civil Liberties Union in
court to suppress statistics on how often it used the Patriot
Act, Attorney General John Ashcroft called a news
conference and announced them..."
IN SHORT:
Statistics on how the Government is using secret PATRIOT ACT
related powers CAN be released since that will NOT compromise national
security
1.31 Terrorism attacks in 2003
FLIP
4/29/04
- [Link]:
"On April 29, the department released the report's 2003 edition
with considerable fanfare. Presenting its optimistic findings at a
special press conference were Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage
and Ambassador at Large J. Cofer Black, the former CIA official who
serves as the department's coordinator for counterterrorism. While
acknowledging that terror continues to take a terrible toll, Armitage emphasized
that the United States is fighting back with a worldwide coalition of
allies. "Indeed," he said, "you will find in these pages
clear evidence that we are prevailing in the fight."
The "evidence" he cited was certainly impressive, and came
complete with
colorful
bar graphs and charts. According to the report's summary,
the number of terror attacks dropped last year to its lowest level since
1969 and had fallen by nearly half since the dark days of 2001. The
report suggested that the American-led coalition has struck back very
effectively against al-Qaida and its radical Islamist network."
IN SHORT:
Terrorist attacks in 2003 fell to a 35 year low! We are
prevailing in the fight against terrorism! Yay!
FLOP
4/29/04
- [Link]:
"The moment of truth came on May 17. A sharp
Washington Post opinion
piece by Princeton economist Alan Krueger and Stanford political
scientist David Laitin sliced "Patterns 2003" to shreds. Their
review showed that the "number of significant terrorist acts
increased from 124 in 2001 to 169 in 2003," or 36 percent, and that
"the number of terrorist events has risen each year since 2001, and
in 2003 reached its highest level in more than 20 years." The
professors accused the government of concocting a misleading picture by
combining the statistics for all "terrorist" acts, whether or
not they were "significant." The number of "nonsignificant"
terrorist incidents dropped -- but as the professors noted drily, that
fact is itself "nonsignificant" and was used to create a phony
statistic. By the State Department's own standards, its conclusions were
false.
The same day, Rep. Henry Waxman, D-Calif., sent a letter to Secretary of
State Colin Powell complaining about the terror report. As Waxman
pointed out, the analysts who compiled the data on "significant
terrorist events" had closed their books for 2003 on a curious
date. Instead of including every incident up till Dec. 31, they had
included none that occurred after Nov. 11. That decision, which
supposedly reflected printing deadlines, rather conveniently excluded
several deadly incidents -- notably the multiple
deadly bombings in Istanbul that killed dozens and wounded
hundreds on Nov. 15 and 20.
To the State Department's credit, its response to Waxman's criticism was
swift and candid by administration standards. The statement
issued by spokesman Richard Boucher credited the Los Angeles Democrat
and noted that the department itself "did not check and verify the
data sufficiently." While the department's revisions aren't ready
yet, Boucher also noted that "our preliminary results indicate that
the figures for the number of attacks and casualties will be up sharply
from what was published."..."
6/9/04
- [Link]:
"State Department officials said they underreported the number of
terrorist attacks in the report on 2003, and added that they expected to
release an updated version soon.
Several U.S. officials and terrorism experts familiar with that revision
effort said the new report could well show that the number of
significant terrorist incidents actually increased last year, perhaps to
its highest level in 20 years."
6/22/04
- [Rep. Henry Waxman]: "Although
the revised report is a major improvement, I believe it continues to
undercount worldwide terrorism. It fails to count hundreds of terrorist
attacks that have occurred in Iraq against
oil pipelines, electricity plants, and other infrastructure and
facilities that the U.S. is funding and building. The revised report
also appears to undercount other terrorist events, such as potentially
hundreds of incidents against U.S. interests in Colombia. There is a
clear message in the new data: measured by the number of incidents,
major terrorist attacks are increasing."
6/29/04
- [link]:
""Unfortunately, the data that is within the report, the
actual numbers of incidents, is off, it's wrong," Powell said.
"And I am regretful that this has happened."..."
IN SHORT:
Terrorist attacks in 2003 rose to a 20 year high! We are NOT prevailing in the fight against
terrorism!
P.S. [Warning: Gratuitous remarks ahead.] Well, no we are, well
you know..."war on terror", "9/11",
"Iraq", "war on terror", All Sheep Must Vote for
Dear Leader or Face Terrorist Attacks.
1.32 International Terrorism
Cases in 2002 Fiscal Year
FLIP
Dec
2001 - [Link]:
"...federal prosecutors...classified 174 convictions this way [as
"International Terrorism" Cases] in the fiscal year that ended
Sept. 30..."
IN SHORT:
We prosecuted 174 international terrorism cases in the fiscal year 2002.
FLOP
2/21/03
- [Link]:
"...Federal
prosecutors overstated their success in convicting terrorists last year,
with at least three of four cases wrongly classified as
"international terrorism," the General Accounting Office has
found.
A GAO study, begun in response to a December 2001 article by the
Inquirer Washington Bureau, said federal prosecutors initially had
classified 174 convictions this way in the fiscal year that ended Sept.
30 - but had been wrong most of the time.
The report, released Wednesday, said the error rate might be even higher
but not all cases were reviewed by the GAO, the nonpartisan watchdog arm
of Congress.
The GAO said the Justice Department has enacted a series of changes to
correct its fiscal 2002 figures and to ensure that future reporting to
Congress and the public would be accurate.
The report said the inaccurate labeling of convictions had the result of
limiting "the Congress' ability to accurately assess
terrorism-related performance outcomes of the U.S. criminal justice
system."
The watchdog agency said statistics on convictions, including those
related to terrorism, were a key measuring stick for the Justice
Department. The information is submitted to Congress, as well as to the
department's outside auditors, and is used to assess the performance of
U.S. Attorney's Offices around the country and made public in annual
reports.
Justice Department spokesman Mark Corallo said yesterday that many of
the wrongly labeled cases involved illegal immigrants who worked at
airports around the country.
He said those arrests were part of antiterrorist efforts to protect
airports, but he acknowledged they should not have been classified as
"international terrorism" cases.
"If you had either legal immigrants or illegal immigrants
working in sensitive areas of our airports with false documents,"
he said, "that is certainly an attractive avenue for a
terrorist."
He said none of the arrested airport workers had been charged with
crimes of terrorism.
...
The Inquirer article was done by comparing federal court records to
Justice Department data. Syracuse University's nonprofit Transactional
Records Access Clearinghouse assisted in the research.
The article found that among the cases classified as terrorism were
incidents of erratic behavior by people with mental illnesses,
passengers getting drunk on airplanes, and convicts rioting to get
better prison food.
...
The problem of inflated statistics intensified after the Sept. 11
attacks, the GAO said..."
IN SHORT:
We prosecuted far less than 174 international terrorism cases in the
fiscal year 2002.
[BONUS]
Terrorism Charges Filed in
early 2003
Jan-Feb
2003 - [Link]:
"...In the first two months of this year, the Justice Department
filed "terrorism" charges against 56 people..."
IN SHORT:
We filed terrorism charges against 56 people in the first two months of
2003.
May
2003 - [Link]:
"...But an investigation has
found that at least 41 of them had nothing to do with terrorism -- a
point that prosecutors acknowledge. Among
the cases:
• 28 Latinos charged with working
illegally at the airport in Austin, Texas, most of them using phony
Social Security numbers.
• Eight Puerto Ricans charged with
trespassing on Navy property on the island of Vieques, long a site of
civil protests of ordnance testing.
• A Middle Eastern man indicted in
Detroit for allegedly passing bad checks who has the same name as a
Hezbollah leader.
• A Middle Eastern college student
charged in Trenton, N.J., with paying a stand-in to take his college
English-proficiency tests. He received a one-month jail sentence after
pleading guilty.
...
The problems are nothing new. In
January, the General Accounting Office reported that three-fourths of
all "international terrorism" convictions were wrong in fiscal
2002.
The GAO audit said the exaggeration was serious because it prevented
Congress and the public from understanding how much taxpayer money was
being spent to prosecute terrorism.
The audit did not take into account another batch of
"terrorism" cases filed last fall in New Jersey against 60
Middle Eastern men. An investigation found that they were students and
that the only charges against them were allegations that they had
cheated on the English test for admission to a U.S. university.
The Justice Department, which promised to fix the problem, says that
some prosecutors may have misclassified cases, but that the goal is to
accurately report terrorism.
Terrorism prosecutions from January and February show that the goal
remains elusive.
Puerto Ricans who have long protested the use of Vieques as a practice
bombing range for the Navy were outraged to hear last week that
demonstrators had been labeled as terrorists..."
IN SHORT:
Many of the terrorism charges filed were not really for terrorism. They
were misclassified.
1.33 Strategic use of armed
forces
FLIP
10/17/00
- [Bush]: "...It must be in
our vital interest whether we ever send troops. The mission must be
clear. Soldiers must understand why we’re going. The force must be
strong enough so that the mission can be accomplished. And the exit
strategy needs to be well-defined. I’m concerned that we’re
overdeployed around the world..."
11/19/99 - [Bush]: "...American foreign policy must be more
than the management of crisis. It must have a great and guiding goal: to
turn this time of American influence into generations of democratic
peace..."
IN SHORT:
When we send troops the mission will be clear; soldiers will understand
why we're going; the force will be strong enough so that the mission can
be accomplished. The exit strategy will be well-defined. It will be more
than the management of crisis.
FLOP
9/7/03
- [Bush]: "...Two multinational divisions, led by the
British and the Poles, are serving alongside our forces -- and
in order to share the burden more broadly, our commanders have
requested a third multinational division to serve in Iraq..."
8/27/04
- [Link]:
"President Bush acknowledged for the first time on Thursday that he
had miscalculated post-war conditions in Iraq, the New York Times
reported.
The paper quoted Bush as saying during a 30-minute interview that he
made "a miscalculation of what the conditions would be" in
post-war Iraq...Bush said his strategy had been "flexible
enough" to respond. "We're adjusting to our conditions"
in places like Najaf, the paper quoted him as saying."
Also see here.
IN SHORT:
We "miscalculated" the needs for the size of the force [a very
generous interpretation since we simply told Eric Shinseki to keep quiet
when he told us we were "miscalculating"] needed to accomplish the
mission; the exit strategy is "flexible".
1.34 Military Equipment
Readiness
FLOP
3/19/04
- [Rice for
Bush, defending why the ARMED Predator drone was not unleashed on
Afghanistan pre-9/11]: "Well, we did think about how fast we
could accelerate the work on the Predator. But you always have to
be careful to make sure that you're going to have something that works.
And the tests had not been conclusive. In fact, the tests had — had
shown some of the limitations in the warhead. "
IN SHORT:
There's no point trying to implement a missile/arms delivery system that
doesn't work well and which tests have shown limitations on.
FLIP
Flashback
- a few days earlier - [Link]:
"Bush's budget for next year
includes $10.7 billion for missile defense—over twice as much money as
for any other single weapons system. This summer, he's planning to start
deploying the first components of an MD system—six anti-missile
missiles in Alaska, four in California, and as many as 20 more, in
locations not yet chosen, the following year.
Yet, except by sheer luck, these interceptors will not be able to shoot
down enemy missiles. Or, to put it more precisely, Bush is starting to
deploy very expensive weapons without the slightest bit of evidence that
they have any chance of working.
In the past six years of flight tests, here is what the Pentagon's
missile-defense agency has demonstrated: A missile can hit
another missile in mid-air as long as a) the operators know
exactly where the target missile has come from and where it's going; b)
the target missile is flying at a slower-than-normal speed; c) it's
transmitting a special beam that exaggerates its radar signature, thus
making it easier to track; d) only one target missile has been launched;
and e) the "attack" happens in daylight.
Beyond that, the program's managers know nothing—in part because they
have never run a test that goes beyond this heavily scripted (it would
not be too strong to call it "rigged") scenario.
...
There is, in other words, a vast
distance between the Pentagon's current level of testing and the level
that would need to be done before anyone could begin to claim
that a missile-defense system might shoot down real enemy
missiles in a real nuclear attack.
The latest annual report by Thomas Christie, the Pentagon's director of
operational testing and evaluation, reveals just how incalculably vast
this distance is. (The report was published with no fanfare at the end
of last year and has appeared on private Web
sites—but not the Pentagon's—in the past two weeks.)
Christie's bottom line is that we're rushing into this thing blind."
9/14/04
- [Link]:
"The Washington Post reports that "critical new elements"
of the Bush administration's high priority anti-missile system will not
be tested again before being activated this autumn. The last chance for
testing "appeared
to vanish yesterday with the disclosure that the next flight test
has been postponed until late this year, well past the November
election." Against a backdrop of doubt surrounding the system's
likely effectiveness, the Pentagon announced the system will
nevertheless begin operating in the next month or two. "But the
delay leaves the Pentagon pressing ahead with a system that will not
have been flight-tested in nearly two years – and never with the
actual interceptor that will be deployed."..."
IN SHORT:
Even if a missile delivery system is very very expensive to the
taxpayer, doesn't work well and which tests have shown to have very
serious limitations, we should implement it.
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